NBA Over/Under Analysis - 2026-01-30
Summary
| Metric | Value |
|---|
| Total Picks | 5 |
| Correct | 2 |
| Accuracy | 40% |
| Skipped | 4 | Results | Game | Pick | Vegas | Actual | Result | Margin |
| --------------------------------------- | ----------- | ----- | ------ | -------- | ------ |
| Sacramento Kings @ Boston Celtics | UNDER 217 | 220.6 | 205 | ✅ UNDER | -15.6 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers @ Phoenix Suns | UNDER 218 | 221.5 | 239 | ❌ OVER | +17.5 |
| LA Clippers @ Denver Nuggets | UNDER 205.5 | 209.3 | 231 | ❌ OVER | +21.7 |
| Brooklyn Nets @ Utah Jazz | UNDER 224 | 227.9 | 208 | ✅ UNDER | -19.9 |
| Detroit Pistons @ Golden State Warriors | UNDER 220.5 | 224.4 | 255 | ❌ OVER | +30.6 |
Correct Picks (2)
Sacramento Kings @ Boston Celtics
- Pick: UNDER 217
- Vegas: 220.6 | Actual: 205
- Confidence: MEDIUM
- Factors: None specified
- Margin: -15.6 pts
Brooklyn Nets @ Utah Jazz
- Pick: UNDER 224
- Vegas: 227.9 | Actual: 208
- Confidence: MEDIUM
- Factors: None specified
- Margin: -19.9 pts
Wrong Picks (3)
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Phoenix Suns
- Pick: UNDER 218
- Vegas: 221.5 | Actual: 239
- Confidence: MEDIUM
- Factors: None specified
- Margin: +17.5 pts
- Why wrong: Game went OVER - scoring higher than expected
LA Clippers @ Denver Nuggets
- Pick: UNDER 205.5
- Vegas: 209.3 | Actual: 231
- Confidence: MEDIUM
- Factors: None specified
- Margin: +21.7 pts
- Why wrong: Game went OVER - scoring higher than expected
Detroit Pistons @ Golden State Warriors
- Pick: UNDER 220.5
- Vegas: 224.4 | Actual: 255
- Confidence: MEDIUM
- Factors: None specified
- Margin: +30.6 pts
- Why wrong: Game went OVER - scoring higher than expected
Cumulative Stats
- Overall Accuracy: 40% (2/5)
- Last 5 Days: 0%, 40%
Lessons Learned
- 📉 UNDER picks outperforming OVER by 40%
- 2026-01-30: Wrong picks missed by avg 23.3 pts - totals were volatile